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Published on 1/19/2024 in the Prospect News Investment Grade Daily.

High-grade corporate deal pipeline to slow in back half of January; inflows cool

By Cristal Cody

Tupelo, Miss., Jan. 19 – The spigot to the high-grade corporate deal pipeline is expected to slow after a torrent of bond issuance in the first half of January put the year-to-date total at more than $150 billion.

Nearly $50 billion of bonds priced just this past week from the corporate side, along with more than $20 billion from issuers in the supra, sovereign and agencies spaces.

Strong bank supply was expected and did not disappoint with more than $30 billion of new paper sold over the week from names including JPMorgan Chase & Co., which priced $8.5 billion of notes in four tranches, but more may still be lurking in the wings, sources reported.

In 2023, the big six U.S. banks priced $9 billion of new paper in the back half of January, while in 2022, $33 billion of notes priced after fourth-quarter earnings results were released, according to a BofA Securities Inc. research report.

About $20 billion to $25 billion of additional corporate bond issuance is forecast for the week ahead, according to informed market sources.

ETF inflows decline

Year-to-date net inflows into short-intermediate corporate investment-grade debt funds/ETFs totaled $227.3 million over the past week ended Wednesday, according to Refinitiv Lipper U.S. Fund Flows.

Inflows were down from $837.6 million in the prior week.

Net inflows year to date total $2.7 billion, a source said.

In high-grade bond funds and ETFs, including corporates, agencies, mortgages and Treasuries, overall inflows declined to $3.49 billion in the week ended Wednesday from a hefty $9.35 billion inflow in the prior week, according to a BofA Securities note.

Slower high-grade ETF inflows made up the biggest decline after dropping to $2.43 billion this week from $8.32 billion in the prior week.

Inflows into investment-grade funds improved slightly to $1.06 billion for the week ended Wednesday from $1.03 billion a week earlier, BofA said.


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