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Published on 1/2/2007 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 2007

Total year-to-date issuance: $128.602 billion in 348 deals

Columns are amounts in billions of dollars, count of deals and percentage by dollar value.

Yield

1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
Less than 3% 0 00.574 0 00.434 0 00.298 0 0 0
3%-3.99%4.8630.481 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
4%-4.99% 01.1910.902 0 0 0 0 01.7740.9410.497 0
5%-5.99%1.6522.0935.7440.2620.6500.498 00.2992.2241.3834.442 0
6%-6.99%3.9420.7001.2350.8951.0410.4950.8200.8163.7274.5947.7752.698
7%-7.99%5.2520.1243.6750.2002.6020.3993.5081.0872.0773.7352.2190.500
8%-8.99%1.6541.1030.7851.1850.7170.2980.875 00.9530.8250.9840.520
9% and higher0.5501.1640.2990.7481.624 01.0380.1101.4402.5082.3541.794
Floater0.3110.9731.4993.3760.6491.8490.449 02.6272.9171.8551.524
NA 0 0 00.428 00.400 00.045 00.5090.1930.149
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Less than 3%0.57420.43410.2981 001.30641.30641.02%
3%-3.99%5.3443 00 00 005.34435.34434.16%
4%-4.99%2.0943 001.77421.43825.30575.30574.13%
5%-5.99%9.490151.41042.52375.825919.2483519.2483514.97%
6%-6.99%5.877142.43275.3631315.0661928.7385328.7385322.35%
7%-7.99%9.052153.201106.672166.4541825.3795925.3795919.73%
8%-8.99%3.542172.200111.82792.329109.899479.899477.70%
9% and higher2.013132.372132.587156.6573713.6307813.6307810.59%
Floater2.784145.874153.07786.2971818.0315518.0315514.02%
NA 000.82830.04510.85131.72471.72471.34%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Versus Talk
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
Lower1.6980.224 00.6581.296 00.4980.5360.6181.7501.7430.600
Low end3.7251.7623.1420.3980.360 01.2031.0492.0823.2117.7250.523
Middle6.0361.4492.5100.7161.6370.3004.100 02.5761.6515.9681.359
High end4.663 01.5090.5980.850 0 0 00.3501.2470.300 0
Higher 0 00.200 0 0 00.150 0 0 0 00.149
NA2.1034.3947.3524.7233.1404.0750.7390.7739.4949.5534.5834.554
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Lower1.92251.95451.65274.09499.622269.622267.48%
Low end8.629190.75834.3331311.4582825.1786325.1786319.58%
Middle9.995222.653116.676178.9792428.3037428.3037422.01%
High end6.17261.44850.35011.54739.517159.517157.40%
Higher0.2001 000.15010.14910.49930.49930.39%
NA13.8494311.9384011.0063318.6905155.48216755.48216743.14%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Upsized?
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
Yes2.6060.9671.2241.2081.0190.4492.266 01.8781.0696.5400.225
No15.2086.86212.4895.8116.2653.9254.2732.35713.07316.12313.7796.636
Downsized0.411 01.0000.075 0 00.150 00.1680.220 00.325
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Yes4.797162.67694.14587.8341319.4524619.4524615.13%
No34.5597616.0005419.7046236.538100106.801292106.80129283.05%
Downsized1.41140.07510.31820.54532.349102.349101.83%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Seniority
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
sovereign10.2781.6279.4070.398 0 03.306 02.3043.3315.165 0
senior secured0.4060.219 0 00.175 00.1000.1101.5500.4550.1100.625
secured 00.036 0 0 0 0 0 00.168 0 0 0
senior7.5425.3025.2465.2236.9592.2752.9341.5159.47912.93714.4985.836
subordinated 00.6450.0601.4730.1502.1000.3500.7321.6180.6880.5460.724
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
sovereign21.312240.39815.610138.4961235.8165035.8165027.85%
senior secured0.62540.17511.76041.19073.750163.750162.92%
secured0.0361 000.1681 000.20420.20420.16%
senior18.0906214.4565413.9284333.2718479.74624379.74624362.01%
subordinated0.70553.72382.700111.959139.087379.087377.07%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Moody's Rating
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
Aaa 0 0 0 0 00.993 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aa2 00.250 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aa3 0 0 00.399 01.349 0 0 03.918 00.850
A11.200 00.863 00.650 0 0 02.5750.499 00.300
A23.6631.1910.1970.5000.298 0 00.299 01.7501.8940.500
A30.3981.4671.9570.695 0 0 0 03.3720.1893.5540.499
Baa11.4860.3004.0750.3001.991 0 00.1981.5320.9842.483 0
Baa21.599 00.5031.2460.2990.3001.4940.5381.0871.5080.2500.300
Baa31.0000.2990.3970.3980.696 00.3680.1500.4990.3974.3030.149
Ba10.7980.124 00.2520.344 00.322 0 00.2200.373 0
Ba21.1500.4500.2000.5810.3500.1980.9950.3502.5920.6012.1240.500
Ba32.8130.9900.8440.3000.367 00.7430.2501.1022.1451.3550.300
B 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.220
B12.3270.3950.299 00.284 01.056 00.1681.9401.8060.650
B2 00.5242.9250.125 0 0 0 0 00.2080.8020.644
B30.5220.6710.800 0 0 00.626 0 01.5980.7250.300
NR1.2671.1671.6532.2982.0041.5331.0860.5732.1921.4560.6521.973
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Aaa 000.9932 00 000.99320.99320.77%
Aa20.2501 00 00 000.25010.25010.19%
Aa3 001.7493 004.76856.51686.51685.07%
A12.06220.65012.57550.79926.086106.086104.73%
A25.05140.79820.29914.144510.2921210.292128.00%
A33.82370.69523.37264.242912.1332412.133249.43%
Baa15.86162.29151.73043.466413.3491913.3491910.38%
Baa22.10251.84543.11972.05869.123229.123227.09%
Baa31.69541.09431.01744.84968.655178.655176.73%
Ba10.92330.59620.32210.59332.43492.43491.89%
Ba21.80071.13053.93783.225710.0922710.092277.85%
Ba34.64790.66732.09683.7991211.2093211.209328.72%
B 00 00 000.22010.22010.22010.17%
B13.02180.28421.22444.396148.926288.926286.94%
B23.44970.1251 001.654115.228195.228194.07%
B31.9946 000.62622.623125.243205.243204.08%
NR4.088275.835293.851224.0801917.8539717.8539713.88%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Use of Proceeds
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
Acquisition0.305 00.150 0 00.993 0 00.381 0 0 0
Capex1.734 00.200 0 0 00.252 01.5500.1250.1101.175
Dividend/recap 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.1550.1000.598
GCP5.6661.5422.6240.5150.6500.4492.7660.2501.7341.8481.698 0
LBO 0 0 0 00.535 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Refinance3.7470.2193.8950.4100.250 00.8690.1101.6680.6456.6680.445
Multiple/Other/NA6.7726.0687.8456.1695.8482.9322.8021.9989.78714.63911.7434.968
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Acquisition0.45520.99320.3811 001.83051.83051.42%
Capex1.9354 001.80241.41055.147135.147134.00%
Dividend/recap 00 00 000.85240.85240.85240.66%
GCP9.832171.61564.751123.547519.7444019.7444015.35%
LBO 000.5352 00 000.53520.53520.42%
Refinance7.860110.66032.647107.7581018.9253418.9253414.72%
Multiple/Other/NA20.6856214.9495114.5874531.3509281.57025081.57025063.43%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
Agriculture (0xxx)0.3000.225 00.125 0 00.300 0 00.108 00.250
Mining (1xxx)1.0000.149 0 0 0 0 0 00.1990.6963.7030.325
Oil and gas (13xx)1.486 0 0 00.650 01.4940.2500.7960.9841.9910.300
Construction (15xx) 0 0 00.150 0 0 0 0 0 00.500 0
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)1.9490.3520.7450.4000.8700.633 00.6070.5730.9450.7421.410
Transportation (4xxx) 0 01.1990.1580.7910.993 0 00.506 00.1751.150
Communications (48xx)0.898 0 00.1950.367 00.154 00.1680.1550.5001.109
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)0.8041.5890.347 00.2980.0990.247 01.9001.6300.1500.518
Wholesale (5xxx) 0 0 00.260 0 0 0 0 00.2730.200 0
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)1.5103.6873.0155.3774.0232.6491.1891.5018.6739.0407.1942.124
Services (7xxx) 0 0 00.0300.175 0 0 0 00.250 0 0
Health services (8xxx) 0 0 0 00.110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sovereign (8888)10.2781.8279.4070.398 0 03.306 02.3043.3315.165 0
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Agriculture (0xxx)0.52530.12510.30010.35831.30881.30881.02%
Mining (1xxx)1.1492 000.19914.72466.07396.07394.72%
Oil and gas (13xx)1.48620.65012.54053.27547.951127.951126.18%
Construction (15xx) 000.1501 000.50010.65020.65020.51%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx)3.046111.90391.17953.096119.225369.225367.18%
Transportation (4xxx)1.19921.94350.50611.32534.972114.972113.87%
Communications (48xx)0.89830.56320.32221.76473.547143.547142.76%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)2.739100.39722.14782.29877.581277.581275.89%
Wholesale (5xxx) 000.2601 000.47330.73340.73340.57%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)8.2123812.0493811.3633618.3585849.98217049.98217038.87%
Services (7xxx) 000.2052 000.25010.45530.45530.35%
Health services (8xxx) 000.1101 00 000.11010.11010.09%
Sovereign (8888)21.512250.39815.610138.4961236.0165136.0165128.01%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Country
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
Brazil3.6100.7420.7190.2200.2500.1980.547 01.6930.7865.525 0
Hong Kong 00.0360.5080.2000.6850.949 00.4181.668 01.5590.350
Indonesia0.2480.2502.1250.2830.110 0 0 00.1681.3450.3100.510
Kazakhstan0.2980.2240.5040.2471.834 00.150 00.9790.3480.9620.300
Korea0.7611.4200.8271.8430.5940.8340.1500.4973.0010.1892.144 0
Mexico1.4860.0782.9740.485 0 0 00.1100.1500.6000.3751.899
Russia0.2001.2970.5840.6502.6620.4001.7940.0452.2064.2433.4500.900
Turkey1.4530.8900.220 0 0 00.734 00.3271.2470.705 0
Others10.1672.8936.2523.1661.1491.9923.3141.2874.9278.6535.2903.226
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Brazil5.071130.66842.24096.311914.2903514.2903511.11%
Hong Kong0.54431.83462.08731.90956.374176.374174.96%
Indonesia2.62340.39330.16812.165115.350195.350194.16%
Kazakhstan1.02652.08061.12931.61065.845205.845204.55%
Korea3.009123.27193.648112.333612.2623812.262389.53%
Mexico4.53760.48530.26022.87488.157198.157196.34%
Russia2.081113.712134.045108.5931818.4315218.4315214.33%
Turkey2.5634 001.06231.95225.57695.57694.34%
Others19.311386.307209.5293017.1695152.31713952.31713940.68%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Currency
1/20062/20063/20064/20065/20066/20067/20068/20069/200610/200611/200612/2006
$11.9354.64510.7816.6127.2833.9406.4982.35710.89914.50917.0307.186
Y0.1110.0840.573 0 00.434 0 00.298 0 0 0
6.1793.1002.4950.482 0 00.191 03.9232.9031.970 0
£ 0 00.863 0 0 0 0 0 0 01.318 0
Total18.2257.82914.7137.0947.2834.3756.6892.35715.12017.41220.3197.186
Q1/2006Count Q2/2006Count Q3/2006Count Q4/2006Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
$27.3617417.8366019.7546438.726103103.677301103.67730180.62%
Y0.76950.43410.2981 001.50171.50171.17%
11.774160.48234.11474.8731121.2433721.2433716.52%
£0.8631 00 001.31822.18132.18131.70%
Total40.7679618.7526424.1667244.917116128.602348128.602348100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Belgium, Iceland and Greece.


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