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Published on 4/1/2010 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 12 months through March 2010

Yield

4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
Less than 5%2.145 0 00.871 04.1762.9930.4991.0402.7462.7039.718
5%-5.99%3.2361.5010.3002.8621.0358.3813.2203.0520.2507.2681.59310.897
6%-6.99%1.9921.5384.92410.818 04.7387.4671.576 09.2502.1394.223
7%-7.99%5.5231.041 03.282 00.9468.7662.6270.5941.9852.4820.331
8%-8.99%0.6901.1480.5932.4590.744 00.3500.4930.0770.973 01.491
9% and higher3.191 01.8452.1761.7041.5012.2792.3633.1142.0650.8721.800
Floater 00.050 0 0 0 0 00.165 0 0 0 0
NA6.0174.3330.4994.6714.5481.3218.93212.8010.4390.4983.1843.656
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Less than 5%2.14525.04764.533815.1672115.1672126.8933721.70%
5%-5.99%5.037512.279146.523819.7591519.7591543.5984228.28%
6%-6.99%8.4541015.556189.0421015.6121715.6121748.6645522.34%
7%-7.99%6.56584.228511.988174.79784.797827.578386.86%
8%-8.99%2.43263.20230.92032.46462.46469.018183.53%
9% and higher5.03665.379147.755194.738154.7381522.907546.78%
Floater0.0501 000.1651 00 000.21520.00%
NA10.8501210.5401322.172167.33997.339950.9015010.50%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Versus Talk
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
Lower3.9951.4881.7395.9494.8482.9985.2294.3001.7641.5810.1744.645
Low end4.3891.7392.4831.4080.8433.6216.4323.5640.5016.8282.1077.467
Middle8.4180.7541.4833.4650.7386.5343.6287.7670.7686.5643.9569.679
High end 0 0 0 00.198 00.8441.449 0 00.2250.499
Higher0.993 00.159 0 01.061 0 00.2450.526 0 0
NA5.0015.6322.29716.3181.4036.84917.8756.4962.2359.2866.5129.827
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Lower7.222613.7951211.29396.401126.4011238.711399.16%
Low end8.61185.872810.4971216.4021716.4021741.3824523.47%
Middle10.6551010.7361412.1631820.1991920.1991953.7526128.91%
High end 000.19812.29240.72420.72423.21471.04%
Higher1.15221.06110.24510.52610.52612.98450.75%
NA12.9302424.5703726.6073825.6254025.6254089.73113936.67%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Upsized?
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
Yes0.1970.754 02.4680.3483.7072.2780.5900.5242.7301.4954.266
No22.5998.8588.16124.6717.68217.35631.72922.9874.99020.07511.47827.851
Downsized 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01.981 0 0
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Yes0.95126.52383.39278.491128.4911219.3572912.15%
No39.6184849.7096559.7057559.4057859.40578208.43726685.01%
Downsized 00 00 001.98111.98111.98112.83%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Seniority
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
sovereign14.0523.2850.6864.9190.5383.55512.4479.1101.26414.2043.07413.328
senior secured 0 0 02.985 00.652 01.0432.2650.5260.225 0
secured 0 0 00.435 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
senior8.7446.3277.47518.8007.49316.10619.31012.8291.98410.0567.73318.489
subordinated 0 0 0 0 00.7502.2500.595 0 01.9420.300
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
sovereign18.023149.0121022.8211730.6062030.6062080.4626143.80%
senior secured 003.63773.30860.75220.75227.696151.08%
secured 000.4351 00 00 000.43510.00%
senior22.5473642.3995434.1225536.2776536.27765135.34521051.92%
subordinated 000.75012.84542.24242.24245.83793.21%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Moody's Rating
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
Aaa 02.990 01.495 00.4951.4971.494 0 02.491 0
Aa27.708 00.9973.477 01.491 07.000 0 0 01.357
Aa3 00.797 0 0 00.8480.9960.8110.3181.396 01.397
A1 00.9981.487 04.500 0 00.995 0 01.5932.542
A26.927 01.4897.075 01.2480.695 0 04.3551.0976.163
A31.495 00.983 01.0353.4910.7443.113 0 00.4971.986
Baa12.2501.7081.0005.203 05.0925.9430.5900.4393.9753.4403.340
Baa2 0 0 02.987 00.9924.2361.734 03.973 02.769
Baa30.7441.0430.997 00.8431.9932.810 00.5680.7970.4142.100
Ba11.0000.754 01.609 00.7503.4811.798 00.743 00.900
Ba2 0 0 00.758 00.7461.438 0 02.2780.6930.990
Ba32.139 0 01.8660.7441.1240.9941.1930.4463.7790.1230.495
B1 00.9910.1590.7430.314 00.2481.0870.5011.196 0 0
B2 0 0 0 0 00.652 00.6800.5000.1980.7491.675
B3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.245 0 0
Caa1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.775
NR0.5330.3301.0501.9260.5942.14110.9253.0822.7411.8481.8755.628
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Aaa2.99011.99132.99032.49112.491110.46283.56%
Aa28.70574.96867.00031.35711.357122.030171.94%
Aa30.79720.84812.12542.79332.79336.564104.00%
A12.48534.50020.99514.13634.136312.11595.92%
A28.41678.32280.695111.614911.614929.0482516.62%
A32.47934.52653.85732.48322.483213.345133.55%
Baa14.958410.29596.972610.7561010.7561032.9812915.39%
Baa2 003.98045.97076.743116.7431116.693229.65%
Baa32.78432.83633.37843.31153.311512.310154.74%
Ba11.75422.35945.27971.64331.643311.035162.35%
Ba2 001.50441.43823.96153.96156.903115.67%
Ba32.13923.73482.63364.39774.397712.904236.29%
B11.15021.05731.83641.19621.19625.240111.71%
B2 000.65221.18042.62262.62264.454123.75%
B3 00 00 000.24510.24510.24510.35%
Caa1 00 00 000.77510.77510.77511.11%
NR1.913144.6621116.748279.351219.3512132.6737313.38%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Use of Proceeds
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
Acquisition 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.775
Capex 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.1960.498 00.475
GCP10.3635.4761.90614.2201.3412.4184.38511.2610.8866.4704.3226.881
Refinance 01.043 02.3750.1982.0894.7955.4471.0691.5130.9890.300
Multiple/Other/NA12.4333.0936.25510.5446.49116.55624.8266.8693.36216.3047.66323.686
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Acquisition 00 00 000.77510.77510.77511.11%
Capex 00 000.19610.97320.97321.17031.39%
GCP17.7451517.9792016.5322217.6732517.6732569.9288225.29%
Refinance1.04314.662711.311122.80282.802819.819284.01%
Multiple/Other/NA21.7823433.5914635.0574747.6535547.65355138.08318268.20%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
Agriculture (0xxx) 0 0 0 00.348 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Communications (48xx)0.744 01.646 00.2000.9521.5942.6260.940 0 04.939
Construction (15xx)0.197 0 00.180 00.9991.186 00.2460.328 0 0
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)0.1550.9910.9895.2111.587 01.2391.115 01.2910.3500.500
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)5.3974.3684.5433.5840.4988.6028.0818.2830.9774.8298.2238.785
Health services (8xxx) 0 0 00.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx) 0 0 01.1934.6981.7411.8371.2282.0861.5150.8971.439
Mining (1xxx) 0 0 0 0 00.9921.0411.216 0 0 01.026
Oil and gas (13xx)2.2500.2210.2977.534 03.2805.443 0 01.975 00.350
Services (7xxx) 0 0 0 00.048 0 0 0 00.198 0 0
Sovereign (8888)14.0523.2850.6868.9380.5383.55512.4479.1101.26414.2043.07413.328
Transportation (4xxx) 00.747 0 0 00.4951.138 0 00.4460.4301.750
Wholesale (5xxx) 0 0 0 00.1140.446 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Agriculture (0xxx) 000.3481 00 00 000.34810.00%
Communications (48xx)2.39041.15245.160104.93954.939513.640237.07%
Construction (15xx)0.19711.17931.43230.32820.32823.13690.47%
Electric, gas, sanitary services (49xx)2.13636.79892.35452.14152.141513.429223.06%
Finance, insurance, real estate (6xxx)14.3082412.6841817.3412921.8373921.8373966.17011031.25%
Health services (8xxx) 000.5001 00 00 000.50010.00%
Manufacturing (2xxx, 3xxx) 007.63285.15183.85193.851916.634255.51%
Mining (1xxx) 000.99212.25641.02611.02614.27561.47%
Oil and gas (13xx)2.768310.81395.44342.32542.325421.350203.33%
Services (7xxx) 000.0482 000.19810.19810.24630.28%
Sovereign (8888)18.0231413.0311422.8211730.6062030.6062084.4816543.80%
Transportation (4xxx)0.74710.49511.13822.62652.62655.00793.76%
Wholesale (5xxx) 000.5602 00 00 000.56020.00%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Country
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
Africa 01.488 00.7580.538 0 0 00.196 0 01.986
Asia7.4175.1091.7897.1275.8556.2609.0545.3810.1545.8878.2544.167
Bermuda 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.693 00.081
Caribbean 0 00.159 00.843 0 01.255 0 0 00.775
Emerging Europe1.9901.0430.6864.900 00.6522.9690.7590.9407.9911.9824.403
Latin America1.9411.9731.2945.6110.79411.31317.6045.5993.3177.2541.04210.654
Middle East9.197 03.2334.792 02.3382.89010.3830.5001.9730.4466.852
Russia, CIS2.250 01.0003.951 00.5001.4900.2000.4060.9871.2503.200
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Africa1.48811.29530.19611.98611.98614.96562.84%
Asia14.3142419.2422514.5902318.3082918.3082966.45310126.20%
Bermuda 00 00 000.77430.77430.77431.11%
Caribbean0.15910.84311.25530.77510.77513.03361.11%
Emerging Europe3.72035.55254.667614.376914.376928.3152320.57%
Latin America5.208817.7192626.5213018.9503318.9503368.3979727.12%
Middle East12.431117.130813.772149.27189.271842.6034113.27%
Russia, CIS3.25024.45152.09655.43775.437715.234197.78%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Currency
4/20095/20096/20097/20098/20099/200910/200911/200912/20091/20102/20103/2010
$20.6508.3497.47523.6798.03018.62034.00720.2034.00518.24111.84924.623
CHF 0 0 0 0 00.337 0 0 0 0 0 0
Y0.155 0 00.371 0 0 0 00.0540.5511.1090.023
1.9901.0430.6863.089 02.105 03.3731.4545.9940.0167.471
£ 00.221 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total22.7969.6128.16127.1398.03021.06334.00723.5765.51324.78612.97432.117
Q2/2009Count Q3/2009Count Q4/2009Count Q1/2010Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
$36.4744550.3296558.2157554.7137854.71378199.73126378.30%
CHF 000.3371 00 00 000.33710.00%
Y0.15510.37110.05411.68341.68342.26472.41%
3.72035.19464.827613.481913.481927.2222419.29%
£0.2211 00 00 00 000.22110.00%
Total40.5705056.2327363.0978269.8779169.87791229.775296100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Austria, Belgium, Finland, Iceland and Greece.


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