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Published on 2/2/2009 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 12 months through January 2009

Yield

2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
Less than 5% 0 00.1170.2380.768 0 00.104 00.210 0 0
5%-5.99% 0 00.2990.8491.257 00.206 0 0 01.996 0
6%-6.99%0.113 00.4962.0092.6512.3430.011 0 0 0 01.006
7%-7.99%1.1150.2490.8113.3431.9431.699 01.494 0 0 02.591
8%-8.99% 0 02.0500.7534.7391.6500.497 0 0 0 05.446
9% and higher 0 02.0450.6942.8362.5500.3300.804 0 0 00.496
Floater 00.510 00.3070.1550.1470.174 0 0 00.017 0
NA0.8970.1007.6331.3719.3800.1071.363 0 0 0 04.268
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Less than 5%1.12360.10410.2101 00 001.43780.00%
5%-5.99%2.40660.20621.9961 00 004.60790.00%
6%-6.99%5.157102.3544 001.00621.00628.630177.29%
7%-7.99%6.097123.1935 002.59132.591313.2462318.77%
8%-8.99%7.54292.1472 005.44635.446315.1351439.44%
9% and higher5.575103.68411 000.49610.49619.754223.59%
Floater0.46140.32130.0171 00 001.309110.00%
NA18.384221.4714 004.26834.268325.1193330.91%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Versus Talk
2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
Lower0.100 01.7991.2132.3230.400 0 0 0 0 0 0
Low end0.298 00.8963.6103.201 0 00.225 0 0 05.773
Middle0.965 04.2041.0966.8984.3920.4971.494 0 0 03.454
High end 0 0 00.2963.476 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Higher 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01.992
NA0.7620.8596.5513.3507.8323.7042.0840.683 00.2102.0122.588
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Lower5.33570.4001 00 00 005.83590.00%
Low end7.707110.2251 005.77365.773614.0031941.81%
Middle12.198176.3838 003.45423.454222.9992825.02%
High end3.7725 00 00 00 003.77250.00%
Higher 00 00 001.99211.99211.992114.43%
NA17.733396.471222.22232.58832.588330.6357518.74%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Upsized?
2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
Yes0.113 00.8910.6603.3810.950 0 0 0 0 0 0
No2.0120.85912.5608.75420.3487.5462.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Downsized 0 0 00.150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Yes4.932100.9502 00 00 005.996130.00%
No41.6626812.529302.222313.8071213.8071273.091123100.00%
Downsized0.1501 00 00 00 000.15010.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Seniority
2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
sovereign0.9650.4505.4510.55012.853 00.4971.494 0 01.9965.773
senior secured 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.496
senior1.1600.4098.0009.01410.8768.4192.0840.270 00.2100.0177.538
subordinated 0 0 0 0 00.077 00.638 0 0 0 0
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
sovereign18.854171.99121.99615.77365.773630.0282941.81%
senior secured 00 00 000.49610.49610.49613.59%
senior27.8916210.772260.22627.53857.538547.99710354.60%
subordinated 000.7164 00 00 000.71640.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Moody's Rating
2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
Aaa0.499 0 0 0 0 01.244 0 0 0 00.997
Aa2 0 0 0 0 01.499 0 0 0 0 0 0
Aa3 0 00.6511.5550.155 00.292 0 0 0 03.975
A10.298 00.299 03.0830.993 0 0 0 0 00.600
A2 0 00.3510.2997.4432.2500.196 0 00.210 01.288
A3 0 01.9961.8000.3390.5470.0210.225 0 0 0 0
Baa1 0 0 00.4964.778 0 0 0 0 01.996 0
Baa2 0 0 01.9980.9430.077 0 0 0 0 02.462
Baa3 0 00.495 01.151 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ba10.1000.2490.1101.5461.982 0 0 0 0 0 01.997
Ba2 0 02.0000.701 01.500 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ba30.965 01.600 02.6280.6000.2501.494 0 0 01.000
B1 0 0 0 00.341 0 0 0 0 0 01.487
B2 0 0 0 00.149 0 00.166 0 0 0 0
B3 0 0 0 00.1100.0300.497 0 0 0 0 0
NR0.2630.6105.9501.1690.6291.0000.0800.517 0 00.017 0
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Aaa 001.2441 000.99710.99712.74037.22%
Aa2 001.4992 00 00 001.49920.00%
Aa32.36180.2922 003.97523.97526.6291228.79%
A13.38220.9931 000.60010.60015.27354.35%
A28.09272.44630.21011.28811.288112.036129.33%
A34.13590.7945 00 00 004.929140.00%
Baa15.2746 001.9961 00 007.27070.00%
Baa22.94150.0771 002.46222.46225.481817.83%
Baa31.6452 00 00 00 001.64520.00%
Ba13.63810 00 001.99731.99735.9841514.46%
Ba22.70151.5002 00 00 004.20170.00%
Ba34.22962.3444 001.00011.00018.538127.24%
B10.3411 00 001.48711.48711.829210.77%
B20.14910.1661 00 00 000.31520.00%
B30.11010.5272 00 00 000.63730.00%
NR7.747161.59780.0171 00 0010.233310.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Use of Proceeds
2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
Capex 0 00.298 01.500 0 00.166 0 0 00.496
GCP1.0780.2494.0022.1534.6692.2501.2441.823 0 0 08.460
Refinance 0 0 02.3420.1492.449 0 0 0 0 0 0
Multiple/Other/NA1.0470.6109.1505.07017.4113.7981.3360.413 00.2102.0124.851
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Capex1.79830.1661 000.49610.49612.46053.59%
GCP10.825185.3186 008.46078.460725.9293461.27%
Refinance2.49162.4495 00 00 004.939110.00%
Multiple/Other/NA31.631525.547202.22234.85144.851445.9088735.13%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
Africa0.499 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.997
Asia Banks 0 01.0012.2010.9220.2251.5580.225 0 00.0173.975
Asia Corporates0.2980.1601.0940.2992.6901.3430.1960.517 00.210 0 0
Asia Sovereigns 0 0 0 02.131 0 0 0 0 0 01.487
Caribbean 00.100 0 00.341 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Emerging Europe Sovereigns 0 00.351 09.626 0 0 0 0 0 01.288
Latin America Banks0.1000.2490.1101.0990.1250.100 0 0 0 0 0 0
Latin America Corporates 0 00.2012.1121.649 0 00.166 0 0 02.566
Latin America Sovereigns 0 04.6000.5500.257 0 0 0 0 01.9961.997
Middle East Banks0.150 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Middle East Corporates 0 0 00.998 01.499 0 0 0 0 00.496
Middle East Sovereigns0.9650.350 0 00.497 00.4971.494 0 0 01.000
Russia, CIS Banks0.113 00.4951.7502.5100.7300.330 0 0 0 0 0
Russia, CIS Corporates 0 05.1000.5552.9804.600 0 0 0 0 0 0
Russia, CIS Sovereigns 0 00.500 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Africa 00 00 000.99710.99711.49627.22%
Asia Banks4.125172.00890.01713.97523.975210.1252928.79%
Asia Corporates4.083122.05660.2101 00 006.806220.00%
Asia Sovereigns2.1313 00 001.48711.48713.618410.77%
Caribbean0.3411 00 00 00 000.44120.00%
Emerging Europe Sovereigns9.9776 00 001.28811.288111.26579.33%
Latin America Banks1.33440.1001 00 00 001.78270.00%
Latin America Corporates3.961100.1661 002.56622.56626.6941318.58%
Latin America Sovereigns5.4085 001.99611.99731.99739.401914.46%
Middle East Banks 00 00 00 00 000.15010.00%
Middle East Corporates0.99811.4992 000.49610.49612.99343.59%
Middle East Sovereigns0.49711.9912 001.00011.00014.80367.24%
Russia, CIS Banks4.75571.0605 00 00 005.928130.00%
Russia, CIS Corporates8.635114.6006 00 00 0013.235170.00%
Russia, CIS Sovereigns0.5001 00 00 00 000.50010.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Currency
2/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/20088/20089/200810/200811/200812/20081/2009
$2.0120.85912.0998.01311.6318.4492.2672.299 0 01.99612.519
CHF0.113 01.002 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Y 0 00.3500.2380.768 00.2920.104 00.2100.017 0
0 0 01.31311.3310.0470.010 0 0 0 01.288
£ 0 0 0 0 0 00.011 0 0 0 0 0
Total2.1250.85913.4519.56523.7298.4962.5802.402 00.2102.01213.807
Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count Q4/2008Count Q1/2009Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
$31.7435813.014261.996112.5191112.5191162.14310690.67%
CHF1.0025 00 00 00 001.11560.00%
Y1.35680.39630.2262 00 001.979130.00%
12.64480.0572 001.28811.288113.990119.33%
£ 000.0111 00 00 000.01110.00%
Total46.7457913.479322.222313.8071213.8071279.237137100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Austria, Belgium, Finland, Iceland and Greece.


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