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Published on 8/1/2008 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

Analysis of emerging markets issuance for 12 months through July 2008

Columns are amounts in billions of dollars, count of deals and percentage by dollar value.

Yield

8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
Less than 5% 00.9990.216 0 00.393 0 00.1170.2380.768 0
5%-5.99% 00.4985.685 0 01.749 0 00.2990.8491.257 0
6%-6.99% 03.7805.8230.700 02.8260.113 00.4962.0092.6512.343
7%-7.99%1.250 01.883 00.0301.0001.1150.2490.8113.3431.9431.699
8%-8.99% 00.7502.3420.4241.000 0 0 02.0500.7534.7391.650
9% and higher0.1261.6850.7430.553 00.100 0 02.0450.6942.8362.100
Floater0.975 01.1000.3250.250 0 00.510 00.3070.1550.147
NA 00.0410.710 0 04.2250.8970.1007.4001.3719.3800.107
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Less than 5%0.21610.39311.1236 001.51672.73192.24%
5%-5.99%5.68561.74922.4066 004.155810.337156.13%
6%-6.99%6.52392.94065.157102.343310.4391920.7423115.39%
7%-7.99%1.91352.36446.097121.699410.1602013.3232614.98%
8%-8.99%3.7677 007.54291.65019.1921013.7091813.55%
9% and higher1.29670.10015.575102.10047.7751510.8822911.46%
Floater1.67540.51030.46140.14721.11893.768151.65%
NA0.71015.2221018.151200.107223.4803224.2313434.61%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Versus Talk
8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
Lower 0 0 0 0 00.3970.100 01.7991.2132.3230.400
Low end1.2500.7505.5640.174 01.4990.298 00.8963.6103.201 0
Middle0.0264.5991.8280.3251.0304.3700.965 04.2041.0966.8983.942
High end 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.2963.476 0
Higher 0 02.7140.463 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NA1.0752.4048.3951.0400.2504.0280.7620.8596.3183.3507.8323.704
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Lower 000.49625.33570.40016.231106.231109.19%
Low end5.73891.79727.70711 009.5051317.2432414.01%
Middle3.18375.334712.198173.942521.4742929.2824231.66%
High end 00 003.7725 003.77253.77255.56%
Higher3.1775 00 00 00 003.17750.00%
NA9.685195.6501617.499373.7041026.8546340.0189139.59%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Upsized?
8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
Yes 0 01.669 0 0 00.113 00.8910.6603.3810.500
No2.2517.66316.6112.0031.28010.2942.0120.85912.3268.75420.3487.546
Downsized0.1000.0900.223 0 0 0 0 0 00.150 0 0
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Yes1.66920.11314.932100.50015.546127.214148.18%
No19.8933713.1652641.429667.5461562.14010791.94715991.60%
Downsized0.2231 000.1501 000.15010.56340.22%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Seniority
8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
sovereign 03.0300.8620.9501.0006.1140.9650.4505.4510.55012.853 0
secured 0 0 0 0 00.250 0 0 0 0 0 0
senior2.3514.72317.3901.0530.0303.8301.1600.4097.7679.01410.8767.969
subordinated 0 00.249 00.2500.100 0 0 0 0 00.077
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
sovereign2.81267.5281018.85417 0026.3822732.2253738.89%
secured 000.2501 00 000.25010.25010.37%
senior18.473325.4001527.657607.9691541.0259066.57213560.48%
subordinated0.49920.1001 000.07710.17720.67740.26%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Moody's Rating
8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
Aaa 00.999 0 0 00.9990.499 0 0 0 0 0
Aa2 0 02.000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 01.499
Aa3 0 01.499 0 00.999 0 00.6511.5550.155 0
A1 0 0 0 0 00.2450.298 00.299 03.0830.993
A2 0 00.927 0 0 0 0 00.3510.2997.4432.250
A31.250 03.116 0 0 0 0 01.9961.8000.3390.547
Baa1 00.4982.994 0 03.347 0 0 00.4964.778 0
Baa20.4752.5403.681 0 00.440 0 0 01.9980.943 0
Baa3 0 00.100 0 00.397 0 00.495 01.151 0
Ba1 0 0 0 00.030 00.1000.2490.1101.5461.982 0
Ba2 0 00.9910.174 0 0 0 02.0000.701 01.500
Ba3 01.2410.1700.213 03.0280.965 01.600 02.6280.600
B1 0 00.1460.950 00.590 0 0 0 00.341 0
B20.100 00.1500.165 0 0 0 0 0 00.149 0
B30.0260.175 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 00.1100.030
NR0.5002.3012.7270.5001.2500.2500.2630.6105.7161.1690.6290.627
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Aaa 001.4982 00 001.49822.49732.21%
Aa22.0002 00 001.49921.49923.49942.21%
Aa31.49910.99912.3618 003.35994.858104.95%
A1 000.54323.38220.99314.91854.91857.25%
A20.9272 008.09272.250210.342911.2691115.25%
A33.1165 004.13590.54724.683119.049176.90%
Baa12.99433.34745.2746 008.6201012.1131412.71%
Baa23.68140.44022.9415 003.381710.077144.98%
Baa30.10010.39711.6452 002.04232.14243.01%
Ba10.03010.34923.63810 003.987124.017135.88%
Ba21.1662 002.70151.50024.20175.36796.19%
Ba30.38323.99344.22960.60028.8211210.4451513.00%
B11.09630.59020.3411 000.93132.02761.37%
B20.3152 000.1491 000.14910.56440.22%
B3 00 000.11010.03010.14020.34140.21%
NR4.477121.12377.514140.62749.2642516.5424413.66%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Use of Proceeds
8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
Capex 00.750 00.538 0 0 0 00.298 01.500 0
GCP1.2502.3213.1690.865 05.6141.0780.2494.0022.1534.6692.250
Refinance 01.4203.066 01.0000.100 0 0 02.3420.1492.449
Multiple/Other/NA1.1013.26212.2660.5990.2804.5801.0470.6108.9175.07017.4113.348
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Capex0.5382 001.7983 001.79833.08762.65%
GCP4.03496.9411110.825182.250220.0153127.6204529.51%
Refinance4.06670.10012.49162.44955.0391210.526227.42%
Multiple/Other/NA13.145226.2371531.397503.348940.9827458.49110460.41%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Industry Sector (by SIC code)
8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
Africa0.5000.750 0 01.000 00.499 0 0 0 0 0
Asia Banks 01.9982.448 00.2502.438 0 00.7682.2010.9220.225
Asia Corporates0.1000.0900.720 0 0 00.2980.1601.0940.2992.6901.343
Asia Sovereigns 00.9990.500 0 02.485 0 0 0 02.131 0
Caribbean 0 00.146 0 0 0 00.100 0 00.341 0
Emerging Europe Corporates 0 00.7100.165 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Emerging Europe Sovereigns 0 00.216 0 0 0 0 00.351 09.626 0
Latin America Banks 0 0 00.1740.0300.2450.1000.2490.1101.0990.1250.100
Latin America Corporates0.0261.6366.3750.388 01.147 0 00.2012.1121.649 0
Latin America Sovereigns 01.039 0 0 02.596 0 04.6000.5500.257 0
Middle East Banks0.475 0 00.325 0 00.150 0 0 0 0 0
Middle East Corporates 0 02.000 0 00.250 0 0 00.998 01.499
Middle East Sovereigns 01.241 0 0 01.0330.9650.350 0 00.497 0
Russia, CIS Banks 0 02.000 0 00.1000.113 00.4951.7502.5100.280
Russia, CIS Corporates1.250 03.386 0 0 0 0 05.1000.5552.9804.600
Russia, CIS Sovereigns 0 0 00.950 0 0 0 00.500 0 0 0
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
Africa1.00010.4991 00 000.49912.74940.74%
Asia Banks2.69852.43843.892150.22536.5542211.250289.66%
Asia Corporates0.72030.45834.083121.34325.884176.794228.67%
Asia Sovereigns0.50012.48532.1313 004.61666.11586.80%
Caribbean0.14610.10010.3411 000.44120.58730.65%
Emerging Europe Corporates0.8752 00 00 00 000.87520.00%
Emerging Europe Sovereigns0.2161 009.9776 009.977610.193714.71%
Latin America Banks0.20420.59431.33440.10012.02782.232102.99%
Latin America Corporates6.764141.14723.96110 005.1091213.534327.53%
Latin America Sovereigns 002.59635.4085 008.00389.0421011.80%
Middle East Banks0.32510.1501 00 000.15010.95030.22%
Middle East Corporates2.00020.25010.99811.49922.74744.74764.05%
Middle East Sovereigns 002.34830.4971 002.84544.08654.19%
Russia, CIS Banks2.00020.21324.75570.28025.248117.248137.74%
Russia, CIS Corporates3.3863 008.635114.600613.2351717.8712119.51%
Russia, CIS Sovereigns0.9502 000.5001 000.50011.45030.74%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Currency
8/20079/200710/200711/200712/20071/20082/20083/20084/20085/20086/20087/2008
$2.3517.75315.8702.0031.2809.8542.0120.85912.0998.01311.6317.999
CHF 0 0 0 0 0 00.113 01.002 0 0 0
Y 0 00.216 0 00.440 0 00.1170.2380.768 0
0 02.415 0 0 0 0 0 01.31311.3310.047
Total2.3517.75318.5022.0031.28010.2942.1250.85913.2189.56523.7298.046
Q4/2007Count Q1/2008Count Q2/2008Count Q3/2008Count YTDCount TotalCountYTD Share
$19.1533712.7252431.743587.9991552.4679781.72315177.35%
CHF 000.11311.0025 001.11561.11561.64%
Y0.21610.44021.1236 001.56381.77992.30%
2.4152 0012.64480.047112.691915.1071118.71%
Total21.7844013.2782746.511778.0461667.83512099.723177100.00%
Criteria

• The tables include all underwritten offerings sold in the international bond markets reported to Prospect News.

• Offerings are included in the time period in which they price (or settle if pricing date not available).

• Amounts are based on the total sales price (face amount multiplied by the offering price). The full amount is credited to the bookrunner (or lead manager if no bookrunners). For multiple bookrunners (or lead managers), the total value is divided equally among all the firms.

• Each tranche is counted as a separate deal.

• Units made up of a bond and a warrant are included; other units are excluded.

• Best efforts and non-underwritten deals are excluded.

• Non-dollar deals are converted to dollars at the rate shown in Federal Reserve's H.10 release on day of pricing.

• Emerging markets are all countries except: United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany, France, Italy, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, Netherlands, Ireland, Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Spain, Portugal, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Belgium, Iceland and Greece.


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