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Published on 7/28/2023 in the Prospect News Emerging Markets Daily.

DBRS boosts Brazil

DBRS said it upgraded the Federative Republic of Brazil’s long-term foreign- and local-currency issuer ratings to BB from BB (low).

“The upgrade to BB primarily reflects diminishing downside risks to the fiscal outlook. Due to a package of revenue-raising measures earlier this year, the primary deficit is expected to come in around 1% of GDP, an improvement from the projected deficit of 2.3% in the 2023 budget. The government is also putting in place a new fiscal framework that targets a primary balance in 2024 and a surplus of 1% of GDP in 2026. We expect congress will approve the framework in August 2023,” the agency said in a press release.

DBRS said that even if Brazil misses its targets, “the new framework signals that fiscal results will continue to improve during the Lula administration.”

The trend is stable.


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